Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-08-03 0.004668 0.005140 0.005650 0.006242 0.006913 0.007654 0.008535
2025-08-10 0.003853 0.004495 0.005241 0.006176 0.007329 0.008717 0.010532
2025-08-17 0.003437 0.004164 0.005049 0.006220 0.007750 0.009711 0.012463
2025-08-24 0.003093 0.003857 0.004823 0.006155 0.007978 0.010437 0.014101
2025-08-31 0.002780 0.003547 0.004547 0.005972 0.007999 0.010855 0.015332
2025-09-07 0.002582 0.003365 0.004413 0.005955 0.008229 0.011570 0.017074
2025-09-14 0.002481 0.003300 0.004427 0.006137 0.008754 0.012766 0.019728
2025-09-21 0.002305 0.003115 0.004254 0.006024 0.008814 0.013242 0.021261
2025-09-28 0.002150 0.002948 0.004091 0.005908 0.008849 0.013670 0.022762
2025-10-05 0.002042 0.002841 0.004005 0.005899 0.009050 0.014388 0.024891
2025-10-12 0.001976 0.002789 0.003997 0.006009 0.009454 0.015498 0.027944
2025-10-19 0.001872 0.002674 0.003884 0.005936 0.009535 0.016034 0.029940
2025-10-26 0.001786 0.002583 0.003808 0.005930 0.009747 0.016874 0.032806
2025-11-02 0.001694 0.002479 0.003704 0.005866 0.009853 0.017529 0.035427
2025-11-09 0.001632 0.002417 0.003663 0.005907 0.010155 0.018611 0.039261
2025-11-16 0.001555 0.002327 0.003569 0.005846 0.010253 0.019284 0.042256
2025-11-23 0.001464 0.002209 0.003421 0.005674 0.010115 0.019433 0.043953
2025-11-30 0.001408 0.002145 0.003361 0.005658 0.010287 0.020284 0.047714
2025-12-07 0.001388 0.002139 0.003399 0.005829 0.010860 0.022127 0.054743
2025-12-14 0.001324 0.002056 0.003297 0.005724 0.010837 0.022567 0.057774
2025-12-21 0.001264 0.001977 0.003198 0.005614 0.010794 0.022956 0.060760
2025-12-28 0.001223 0.001929 0.003151 0.005606 0.010974 0.023924 0.065904
2026-01-04 0.001200 0.001912 0.003159 0.005709 0.011416 0.025637 0.074142